Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.363591 0.424994 0.493895 0.577002 0.674627 0.785789 0.922146
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.276083 0.358265 0.460819 0.598519 0.779111 1.008635 1.323704
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.224978 0.312623 0.429892 0.598908 0.837395 1.163581 1.646514
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.193429 0.284312 0.413089 0.609877 0.904925 1.333903 2.010529
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.164137 0.253106 0.385503 0.598250 0.934339 1.449483 2.307910
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.142599 0.229486 0.364566 0.591609 0.967513 1.571741 2.629874
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.126669 0.211941 0.349906 0.591549 1.009232 1.710644 2.996610
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.119191 0.206890 0.354236 0.622580 1.105789 1.951769 3.572266
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.112732 0.202512 0.358770 0.653958 1.206356 2.212206 4.220443
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.105450 0.195594 0.357739 0.674732 1.289740 2.451727 4.864147
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.096982 0.185338 0.349231 0.680090 1.344101 2.642979 5.440745
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.087512 0.171964 0.333177 0.668545 1.363307 2.767372 5.898418
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.078002 0.157637 0.314123 0.649685 1.367555 2.867101 6.331116
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.073811 0.153511 0.314841 0.671735 1.460897 3.166514 7.252785
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.068026 0.145309 0.306132 0.672409 1.507756 3.371805 7.993242
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.063907 0.140112 0.303021 0.684746 1.582079 3.648165 8.945871
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.058156 0.130621 0.289464 0.671645 1.595775 3.786761 9.584680
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.053462 0.122930 0.278955 0.664161 1.621619 3.957491 10.332688
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.049770 0.117098 0.271963 0.664094 1.665488 4.178266 11.248295
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.048676 0.117256 0.278918 0.699065 1.802389 4.652679 12.929424
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.047604 0.117334 0.285675 0.734435 1.945473 5.164331 14.804945
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.045873 0.115569 0.287702 0.757855 2.060197 5.617538 16.593520
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.043340 0.111467 0.283388 0.763895 2.128310 5.953146 18.093408